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ArieLethal

0xac7229...b807c1
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
34.4%
Total P&L
+$332
Trade Count
108
Sharpe Ratio
2.20
Sortino Ratio
381.45
Max Drawdown
302.9%
ROI
25.3%
Profit Factor
2.29
Kelly Fraction
0.194
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSELL99.1¢6.71Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY89.1¢6.733Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY35.0¢14.286Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY35.0¢34.286Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY8.8¢33.93Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY15.0¢53.333Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL59.0¢32.97Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSELL99.1¢51.49Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY62.0¢32.258Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY50.0¢20Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSELL99.1¢33.23Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY79.5¢31.438Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL99.1¢51.01Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY98.0¢51.02Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL99.1¢86.4Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY57.0¢87.719Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL65.0¢43.38Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY46.0¢44.06Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSELL99.1¢29.97Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%11%10–20%8%20–30%23%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%
Win Consistency38.1%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity108 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2753d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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