asfdt22

0xa67b00...d466ee

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.1%

Total P&L

-$66

Trade Count

800

Sharpe Ratio

2.46

Sortino Ratio

79.31

Max Drawdown

534.6%

ROI

-13.6%

Profit Factor

0.47

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	2.6¢	16.79	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	24.9¢	13.96	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	5.0¢	31.64	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	7.6¢	15.73	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	BUY	1.3¢	33.09	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	34.44	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	7.11	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	75.5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	7.9¢	15.74	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	SELL	2.0¢	50.63	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.1¢	9.76	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.1¢	7.28	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.2¢	100.01	Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	4.9¢	65.28	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	BUY	3.0¢	49.6	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	BUY	3.0¢	1.031	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.1¢	109.96	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	0.3¢	14.39	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?	BUY	2.1¢	16.25	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	0.3¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity800 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$924d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue