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ASGE43

0x3d1563...650992
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
62.5%
Total P&L
+$24
Trade Count
455
Sharpe Ratio
-2.05
Sortino Ratio
-1.94
Max Drawdown
26792.2%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
2.84
Kelly Fraction
0.405
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢18.18Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢7.21Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢9.38Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢9.09Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢9.375Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.3Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢5.285Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.8¢9.22Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢9.202Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢8.04Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.92Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢1.99Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.77Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢10.43Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢8.16Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢10.417Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.6¢8.18Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%7%70–80%7%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.0%
Win Consistency38.1%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity455 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4877d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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