Avogadro

0x6b58eb...8fc6a8
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
51.8%
Total P&L
+$9.2K
Trade Count
752
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Sortino Ratio
0.24
Max Drawdown
315.6%
ROI
17.6%
Profit Factor
2.13
Kelly Fraction
0.274
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢0.371Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢875.63Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢31.072Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢21,904.24Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢12Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢7Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢31.844Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢4.679Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢26.5Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢29.629Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢31.172Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢28.69Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢1,951.503Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢26.85Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢30.772Oct 1
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢8Oct 1
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4¢45.51Sep 30
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4¢40Sep 30
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4¢50Sep 30
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4¢60Sep 30
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%14%30–50%8%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%
Win Consistency47.3%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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