AZDEs

0xcc7c6f...d62c3d
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
30.8%
Total P&L
+$391
Trade Count
476
Sharpe Ratio
1.21
Sortino Ratio
87.13
Max Drawdown
125.0%
ROI
15.6%
Profit Factor
1.48
Kelly Fraction
0.100
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
031.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY35.9¢28.035Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSELL99.1¢10.15Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY27.0¢10.259Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL2.7¢101.95Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY16.7¢9.581Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.0¢75.287Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY16.6¢120.722Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY7.5¢26.667Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.7¢10Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY14.2¢7.042Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY44.0¢30.023Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL29.0¢45.54Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY46.0¢28.696Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL29.0¢45.53Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY19.0¢24.474Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL98.0¢4.74Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY55.0¢4.818Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY41.0¢2.439Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY43.0¢2.326Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL99.0¢4.7Feb 27
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%17%10–20%19%20–30%24%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency73.8%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity476 trades · 18 active days
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P&L Calendar
$9552d profit15d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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