BAf25

0x4f967d...45716e

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$92

Trade Count

313

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

0.48

Max Drawdown

3146.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.85

Kelly Fraction

0.276

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	20	Mar 5
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	14.57	Mar 5
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	15	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	92.8¢	17.5	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	SELL	98.9¢	5.02	Mar 5
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.7¢	14.32	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	11.6	Feb 23
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	48.0¢	20	Feb 23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	60	Feb 23
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	60.2¢	16.73	Feb 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	93.8¢	14	Feb 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BUY	76.0¢	21	Feb 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	77	Feb 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	267.84	Feb 2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	1,204.02	Feb 2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.7¢	1,471.85	Feb 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.6¢	2,943.72	Jan 30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY	92.3¢	11.918	Jan 30
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	BUY	95.8¢	11.482	Jan 30
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	8.86	Jan 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%

Win Consistency55.1%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity167 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$64112d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue