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Barbwire

0x589916...221a23
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
28.9%
Total P&L
+$31
Trade Count
119
Sharpe Ratio
-1.69
Sortino Ratio
-3.88
Max Drawdown
57.3%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
1.89
Kelly Fraction
0.136
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.7¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY9.9¢31.73Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY9.9¢18.27Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL17.4¢40Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY25.4¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.1¢100Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL12.6¢49.99Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢7Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY37.9¢7Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.0¢24Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.0¢6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.2¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY4.5¢180.98Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY4.5¢45.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY4.5¢34.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL4.8¢200Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.5¢100.93Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.9¢269.99Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.9¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.9¢30Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%68%< 10%18%10–20%4%20–30%9%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%
Win Consistency27.5%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity119 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$96d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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