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Bearly

0x434850...78cbff
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
86.0%
Total P&L
+$1.8K
Trade Count
410
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
308.07
Max Drawdown
9134.5%
ROI
10.7%
Profit Factor
3.19
Kelly Fraction
0.590
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
045.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSELL78.0¢2Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY81.0¢12.346Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL87.4¢22.93Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY86.9¢23.007Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL98.0¢10.3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSELL95.0¢11.33Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY88.0¢11.364Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL95.5¢10.74Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY93.0¢10.753Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSELL97.0¢10.62Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY94.0¢10.638Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSELL99.0¢103.07Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY97.0¢103.093Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL97.0¢10.85Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY92.0¢10.87Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL83.0¢12.5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY79.5¢12.584Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%7%50–70%7%70–80%16%80–90%56%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.7%
Win Consistency14.2%
Profit Factor1.19
Drawdown Resilience0.96
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96
Weekly Sharpe est.0.73
Trading Activity410 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,4831d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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