Bearpp

0xcb516a...e6359d

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.4%

Total P&L

-$20.3K

Trade Count

3,450

Sharpe Ratio

0.57

Sortino Ratio

8.26

Max Drawdown

7588.8%

ROI

-8.8%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	41.0¢	23.64	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	95.0¢	48.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	94.9¢	8.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	93.9¢	9.34	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	93.7¢	11.82	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	93.8¢	24.94	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	93.7¢	11.82	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	88.5¢	86.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	88.3¢	114.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.9¢	11.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	23.65	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	31.91	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	2.84	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	1.515	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	41.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	187.65	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	8.91	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	1.34	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	69.3¢	13.7	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%

Win Consistency58.5%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity3,450 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$89,9111d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue