Beerbohm3

0x92f723...f18250

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

148

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

8.32

Max Drawdown

2300.6%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.018

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Nets vs. Heat	BUY	87.0¢	10.23	Mar 5
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	SELL	99.8¢	132.55	Mar 5
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	BUY	99.9¢	132.552	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 4?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	133.413	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	133.283	Mar 1
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	SELL	99.8¢	133.42	Mar 1
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	BUY	99.9¢	133.423	Mar 1
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	SELL	99.8¢	133.55	Mar 1
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	BUY	99.9¢	133.553	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	133.423	Feb 28
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	133.287	Feb 27
Will Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	SELL	99.8¢	133.3	Feb 27
Will Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	BUY	99.9¢	133.303	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	200	Feb 26
Blackhawks vs. Predators	BUY	40.0¢	17.25	Feb 26
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	144.94	Feb 26
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	144.945	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 25?	BUY	0.3¢	570	Feb 25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	145.925	Feb 22

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.0%

Win Consistency35.4%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity148 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1113d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue