BeguilingEmmanuel

0x398bbf...de02b4

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

0.65

Max Drawdown

27.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.030

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,088.684	Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	337	Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.0¢	337	Feb 9
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	336.96	Feb 8
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	336.963	Feb 7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.07	Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.39	Feb 6
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5.86	Feb 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	343.14	Feb 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	343.135	Feb 3
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	343.1	Feb 3
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	343.102	Feb 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	344.11	Feb 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	344.107	Feb 1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	342.04	Feb 1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	342.046	Jan 31
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	12.44	Jan 30
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	350.72	Jan 29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	350.726	Jan 29
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.0¢	351.08	Jan 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.0%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity42 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$803d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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