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beibaosa

0x4907ca...159202
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
-$0
Trade Count
228
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Sortino Ratio
1.38
Max Drawdown
320.8%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.98
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.1¢5.04Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢9.19Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢9.193Mar 5
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.2¢5.04Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.5¢10.25Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢10.246Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢9.1Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢9.1Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.0¢10.1Mar 5
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.3¢6.1Mar 5
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢6.098Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.3¢7.04Mar 4
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.4¢7.042Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢10.29Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY93.0¢10.753Mar 4
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL98.2¢10.17Mar 4
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY98.3¢10.173Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.3¢10.16Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢10.163Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%10%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%81%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%
Win Consistency47.6%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity228 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1738d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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