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Smart Score
5
Win Rate
39.3%
Total P&L
-$119
Trade Count
100
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Sortino Ratio
-0.30
Max Drawdown
135.0%
ROI
-4.1%
Profit Factor
0.82
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY42.0¢4.762Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY19.9¢5.025Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢0.43Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢158Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY33.4¢149.701Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSELL99.1¢4.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.7¢168.604Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY49.0¢4.082Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY72.2¢138.587Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY65.5¢19.847Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSELL99.1¢3.71Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY53.0¢3.774Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY41.0¢2.439Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSELL77.0¢1.96Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSELL84.1¢2Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%6%10–20%16%20–30%24%30–50%37%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.3%
Win Consistency40.3%
Profit Factor0.12
Drawdown Resilience0.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.08
Trading Activity100 trades · 23 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3743d profit20d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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