Bober.smart

0x9b3c12...12b892@Bober_smart

Smart Score

Win Rate

8.3%

Total P&L

-$590

Trade Count

262

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Sortino Ratio

7.88

Max Drawdown

49.7%

ROI

-19.5%

Profit Factor

0.30

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	17.2¢	200	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	269.75	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.1¢	183.364	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	7.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	633.328	Feb 27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	SELL	0.1¢	10,000	Feb 21
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?	BUY	0.1¢	909.113	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	SELL	3.3¢	179.13	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	SELL	5.9¢	200	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	2.2¢	179.13	Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	3.0¢	200	Feb 7
Will the US strike Mexico next?	BUY	0.5¢	220.498	Feb 4
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	BUY	0.2¢	3,000	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	SELL	5.4¢	384.61	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	SELL	39.0¢	81.08	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	SELL	41.8¢	126.91	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	5.2¢	384.615	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	23.6¢	126.92	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	81.081	Feb 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency29.4%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity262 trades · 61 active days

P&L Calendar

$59418d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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