bobrenokli

0x8a0812...9a0eec

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.06

Sortino Ratio

2.57

Max Drawdown

107.8%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	BUY	3.0¢	333.333	Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	BUY	4.7¢	21.235	Mar 5
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	1,393.529	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?	SELL	12.7¢	211.7	Mar 4
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	SELL	36.3¢	52.25	Mar 1
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	BUY	24.0¢	52.25	Feb 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	45.0¢	27.87	Feb 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	39.0¢	27.872	Feb 20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	25.2¢	43.08	Feb 18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	43.083	Feb 13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	SELL	3.0¢	170.5	Feb 13
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?	BUY	9.4¢	211.708	Feb 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	24.8¢	170.5	Feb 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	47.95	Feb 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	47.954	Jan 22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	36.0¢	115.9	Jan 22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	23.9¢	115.9	Jan 13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SELL	17.0¢	20.6	Jan 13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	16.0¢	20.6	Jan 10

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency72.7%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity19 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$333d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue