bowser66

0x792d3e...43398c

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.2%

Total P&L

+$326

Trade Count

177

Sharpe Ratio

2.07

Sortino Ratio

4.67

Max Drawdown

10134077000.0%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

2.03

Kelly Fraction

0.320

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	66.0¢	282.63	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	26.0¢	384.615	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	56.0¢	74.42	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	56.0¢	142.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	56.0¢	6.5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	43.0¢	23.256	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	60.0¢	166.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	168.08	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	31.915	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	59.5¢	33.607	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	60.0¢	34.94	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	50.0¢	203.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	50.0¢	243.7	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	30.0¢	447.65	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	77.2¢	476.19	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	28.2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	28.571	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY	54.0¢	9.259	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	52.0¢	192.308	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	161.29	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.0%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.11

Drawdown Resilience0.90

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity177 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$8651d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue