BubbleScale

0x88ff9d...b0fa1b
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
46.8%
Total P&L
+$4.0K
Trade Count
969
Sharpe Ratio
0.58
Sortino Ratio
3.92
Max Drawdown
730.9%
ROI
5.5%
Profit Factor
1.43
Kelly Fraction
0.141
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump say "Dell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY12.8¢200Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY59.0¢3.18Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY34.0¢106.24Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY50.0¢140Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY54.9¢236.18Mar 4
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL1.0¢237.65Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL1.0¢71.348Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL1.0¢91Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL1.0¢100Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY18.0¢500Mar 3
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?BUY7.6¢80Feb 28
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?BUY6.0¢125.14Feb 28
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?BUY8.2¢999Feb 28
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?BUY7.5¢655.46Feb 28
Will Jonas Lovv win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?SELL99.0¢711.24Feb 28
Will Jonas Lovv win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?SELL99.0¢2.02Feb 28
Will Jonas Lovv win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?SELL99.0¢8.56Feb 28
Will Jonas Lovv win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?BUY40.0¢450Feb 28
Will Leonardo Amor win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?BUY5.0¢14Feb 28
Will Jonas Lovv win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?BUY54.9¢20Feb 28
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%14%10–20%13%20–30%27%30–50%18%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.1%
Win Consistency53.6%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity969 trades · 120 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,32634d profit86d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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