bung

0x6dc6e2...cc2399@chervaliae

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.3%

Total P&L

-$577

Trade Count

732

Sharpe Ratio

0.21

Sortino Ratio

16.99

Max Drawdown

443.9%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	68.5¢	75.87	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.9¢	75.873	Mar 3
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	312.5	Mar 2
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	3.1¢	252.5	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	625	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	28,038.64	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.5¢	5,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.9¢	344.828	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.9¢	1,724.138	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.8¢	714.286	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.0¢	5,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.4¢	14,705.882	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.3¢	209.6	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	1.6¢	625	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	7.6¢	131.579	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.8¢	208.333	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BUY	15.0¢	7	Feb 25
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	3.5¢	147.05	Jan 28
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	147.059	Jan 21
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	312.5	Jan 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.7%

Win Consistency45.4%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity687 trades · 97 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,97834d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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