BVN5THER

0xa24b98...56fcd9

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.3%

Total P&L

+$25

Trade Count

430

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

775.3%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.76

Kelly Fraction

0.277

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	12.121	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	11.54	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.22	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.7¢	12.77	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	9.21	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	6.122	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	9.83	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	9.836	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.4¢	7.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	7.246	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	5.952	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.5¢	5.2	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	5.165	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	7.29	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.7¢	6.14	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%

Win Consistency45.0%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity430 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$41811d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue