CaptBluetooth

0xf2b3f8...c07469

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.3%

Total P&L

-$897

Trade Count

481

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.90

Max Drawdown

268.6%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	171.556	Feb 18
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	39.0¢	5,400	Oct 20
US recession in 2025?	BUY	6.4¢	10,000	Oct 20
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?	BUY	20.4¢	1,960.282	Apr 28
US recession in 2025?	BUY	40.0¢	2,500	Apr 2
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?	BUY	10.2¢	980.355	Mar 5
US recession in 2025?	BUY	37.4¢	1,336.891	Mar 5
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?	BUY	45.5¢	1,971.366	Jan 31
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?	BUY	8.0¢	2,199.246	Jan 8
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?	BUY	12.0¢	1,456.8	Jan 8
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?	BUY	21.0¢	1,904.762	Jan 8
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	BUY	57.8¢	1,100	Dec 1
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	BUY	24.4¢	819.004	Nov 29
Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	SELL	98.1¢	1,000	Nov 29
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	BUY	33.0¢	1,500.669	Nov 24
Will Biden finish his term?	SELL	9.0¢	5,500	Nov 17
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?	BUY	55.4¢	1,172.37	Nov 8
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	BUY	55.0¢	1,000	Nov 8
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?	BUY	95.6¢	836.82	Nov 8
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	BUY	86.0¢	14.17	Sep 23

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.3%

Win Consistency26.9%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue