ceg55

0x9fe363...5ae8be

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.5%

Total P&L

+$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

107.2%

ROI

24.2%

Profit Factor

3.52

Kelly Fraction

0.391

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Mavericks vs. Magic	BUY	77.0¢	3.494	Mar 5
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	2.901	Mar 4
Panthers vs. Islanders	BUY	56.0¢	5.232	Mar 1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	37.0¢	6.189	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.7¢	5.99	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.7¢	142.857	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.7¢	142.857	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	72.9¢	9.602	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.7¢	291.716	Feb 17
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	69.0¢	7.246	Feb 6
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	35.0¢	8.571	Jan 29
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?	BUY	62.0¢	19.89	Jan 1
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	BUY	81.0¢	12.333	Dec 20
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	63.0¢	16.27	Nov 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.3%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity13 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$481d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue