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Cerebrate

0x832cc6...300289
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$104.9K
Trade Count
998
Sharpe Ratio
7.30
Sortino Ratio
26421.76
Max Drawdown
36.3%
ROI
13.5%
Profit Factor
0.31
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL99.4¢10,057.68Nov 6
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL99.4¢5,000Nov 6
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL99.4¢10,000Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢4,241.49Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL99.4¢103,778.98Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL0.7¢659.76Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL0.6¢14,000Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL0.7¢5,000Nov 6
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL99.6¢87.94Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY99.3¢77,652.387Nov 6
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL1.8¢87.48Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL1.7¢4,000Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL2.0¢272.29Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL2.0¢100Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL2.0¢100Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL2.0¢2,527.71Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY99.0¢398Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY99.0¢836Nov 6
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL1.0¢87.32Nov 6
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL1.1¢3,997.88Nov 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%5%20–30%30–50%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.36
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.1%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.12
Drawdown Resilience0.90
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90
Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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