CharlesDrake28

0xffe2fb...83e0aa

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.8%

Total P&L

-$867

Trade Count

158

Sharpe Ratio

-0.45

Sortino Ratio

-1.27

Max Drawdown

266.2%

ROI

-11.5%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	50.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SELL	49.0¢	197.2	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	51.0¢	196.078	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	50.7¢	197.206	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	56.5¢	44.281	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	14.6¢	110.67	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	116.27	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	22.6¢	110.679	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	86.0¢	116.279	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	84.2¢	29.691	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	55.0¢	181.818	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	129.82	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	111.111	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	111.168	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	2,500	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	7.0¢	166.66	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	15.0¢	166.667	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.5¢	1,001.6	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	9.2¢	271.739	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	3.7¢	135.135	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.7%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity158 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,04510d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue