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ChasingPaper

0x8dc7a4...2b116f
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
65.0%
Total P&L
-$675
Trade Count
1,273
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
0.31
Max Drawdown
367.7%
ROI
-0.5%
Profit Factor
0.97
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY58.0¢200Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY18.1¢461Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY9.9¢220Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY9.9¢1,000Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY79.6¢306.88Mar 5
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY74.0¢200Mar 5
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY73.0¢111.62Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL21.1¢999.82Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL65.4¢475.44Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢196.91Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢7.614Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢8.883Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢5.02Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢11.421Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢7.614Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢10.152Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢4.71Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢12.69Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢10.152Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY21.2¢8.883Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%5%10–20%8%20–30%11%30–50%17%50–70%14%70–80%24%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.2%
Win Consistency59.0%
Profit Factor0.35
Drawdown Resilience0.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity1,010 trades · 117 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$50,17019d profit97d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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