Accrue
Log inGet Access

CHBTJ4D

0x75f4ad...29b7c3
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
66.2%
Total P&L
+$37
Trade Count
518
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Sortino Ratio
2.77
Max Drawdown
1410.3%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
5.21
Kelly Fraction
0.534
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢9.65Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢6.23Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢8.01Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.28Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢6.23Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢6.192Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.8¢8.016Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢8.75Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢8.734Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢7.18Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢7.172Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢5.16Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢5.165Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢7.099Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢9.615Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL86.0¢8.23Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY85.0¢8.235Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%9%70–80%7%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity518 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$51814d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics