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Concois

0x444c5c...a99d2e
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
64.4%
Total P&L
+$275
Trade Count
918
Sharpe Ratio
1.77
Sortino Ratio
51.53
Max Drawdown
282.5%
ROI
4.1%
Profit Factor
1.94
Kelly Fraction
0.313
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.8¢12Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.8¢69Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.7¢30Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.8¢11Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.8¢20Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL59.0¢17.81Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL59.1¢16Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL59.0¢9Mar 4
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?SELL14.8¢100Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY20.0¢30Mar 4
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?SELL1.2¢7Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL65.0¢77.87Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY38.0¢17.36Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL12.5¢52.67Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY40.0¢20Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL9.8¢140.44Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL9.0¢48.9Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL8.4¢7.17Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL8.4¢41.728Mar 4
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.2¢100Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%57%< 10%25%10–20%4%20–30%6%30–50%3%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.9%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor1.11
Drawdown Resilience0.90
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity918 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2703d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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