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cryptonepal

0xa4f011...6b380f@Rijan39413165
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
38.6%
Total P&L
+$428
Trade Count
167
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Sortino Ratio
0.16
Max Drawdown
112.9%
ROI
7.4%
Profit Factor
2.26
Kelly Fraction
0.215
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY6.9¢144.286Mar 5
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win less than 80 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY50.0¢10.42Mar 5
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win less than 80 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY50.0¢1.32Mar 5
Will Nepali Communist Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY10.9¢45.839Mar 4
Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win between 20 and 29 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY13.0¢51.93Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win less than 80 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY50.0¢0.83Mar 4
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win between 20 and 29 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY13.0¢3.07Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY22.0¢4.026Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY22.0¢22.564Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY24.0¢3.66Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY24.0¢6.32Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY24.0¢2.289Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY24.0¢12.73Mar 3
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY8.0¢2Mar 3
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY8.0¢6Mar 3
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY8.0¢10Mar 3
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY8.0¢27Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY22.0¢3.205Mar 3
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY22.0¢1.282Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%18%10–20%18%20–30%15%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%
Win Consistency38.6%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity119 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$33112d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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