curvycraig

0x216964...fa125b

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.8%

Total P&L

+$55

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

0.36

Max Drawdown

200.6%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

9.85

Kelly Fraction

0.430

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	172.18	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	172.172	Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	142.42	Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	142.427	Mar 4
Mavericks vs. Hornets	BUY	15.0¢	35.333	Mar 3
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	15.0¢	26	Mar 3
Knicks vs. Raptors	BUY	57.0¢	25.965	Mar 3
Mavericks vs. Hornets	BUY	85.0¢	38.941	Mar 3
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	138.13	Mar 2
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	138.138	Mar 2
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	169.16	Mar 2
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	169.169	Mar 1
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	152.15	Mar 1
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	152.152	Mar 1
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.6¢	176.35	Feb 28
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	176.353	Feb 27
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	149.29	Feb 27
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	149.299	Feb 27
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	126.25	Feb 27
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	126.253	Feb 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity40 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$1083d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue