DanBolla33

0x49341d...376d71

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.4%

Total P&L

+$1.3K

Trade Count

1,575

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

3.07

Max Drawdown

1271.6%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.263

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	357.143	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	95.0¢	486.41	Mar 5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	55.0¢	18.182	Mar 5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 5
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	109.206	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	99.6¢	10.52	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	99.5¢	22.22	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	9.7¢	273.97	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	85.714	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	37.1¢	26.974	Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	SELL	97.0¢	22.47	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?	SELL	98.0¢	6.796	Mar 4
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	30.303	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.8¢	385.49	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	95.0¢	63	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	83.0¢	12.047	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	89.0¢	22.472	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	70.0¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.8¢	140.13	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.1%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity1,575 trades · 166 active days

P&L Calendar

$44,44530d profit125d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue