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DanIves666

0x958ec3...cde9df
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
22.1%
Total P&L
+$1.0K
Trade Count
1,316
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
16.01
Max Drawdown
195.4%
ROI
5.8%
Profit Factor
1.23
Kelly Fraction
0.041
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.7¢56.075Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.9¢56.292Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY33.6¢59.44Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY38.9¢51.414Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL90.1¢20.49Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL16.0¢21.73Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY23.0¢21.739Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY48.8¢20.492Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL87.7¢72.17Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY68.9¢72.177Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.5¢202.692Mar 2
Howard Bison vs. Coppin State EaglesSELL3.4¢59Mar 2
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU SharksSELL0.2¢16.66Mar 2
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsSELL40.0¢10.71Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?SELL87.0¢165.11Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY43.0¢165.116Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY2.1¢96.745Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?SELL97.8¢59.17Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY84.5¢59.172Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%17%10–20%7%20–30%40%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.5%
Win Consistency52.2%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity1,316 trades · 61 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,92120d profit41d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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