Darb-424

0xe397dc...0d0061

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

-$3.5K

Trade Count

136

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

1.70

Max Drawdown

21.1%

ROI

-7.0%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump wins every swing state?	SELL	1.7¢	6,811.73	Nov 6
Trump wins every swing state?	SELL	1.7¢	2,352.941	Nov 6
Trump wins every swing state?	SELL	1.7¢	555.55	Nov 6
Trump wins every swing state?	BUY	80.0¢	6,698.43	Oct 7
Trump wins every swing state?	BUY	80.0¢	1,250	Oct 7
Trump wins every swing state?	BUY	80.0¢	1,771.8	Oct 7
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	SELL	95.1¢	8,165.04	Oct 2
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	SELL	95.2¢	0.79	Oct 2
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	SELL	95.2¢	11	Oct 2
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	903.61	Sep 23
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	461.477	Sep 23
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	3,513.817	Sep 22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	SELL	91.0¢	4,986.14	Sep 22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	3,043.79	Sep 18
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?	SELL	98.2¢	2,502.51	Sep 18
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?	SELL	98.3¢	255.86	Sep 18
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	BUY	88.0¢	33.58	Sep 18
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	SELL	90.0¢	30	Sep 18
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	SELL	90.0¢	0.567	Sep 18
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	BUY	90.0¢	446.25	Sep 18

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.80

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.8%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor0.85

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue