Dawn-Aspen

0x8e7dd7...cade11

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.7%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.08

Max Drawdown

835.6%

ROI

11.2%

Profit Factor

2.35

Kelly Fraction

0.119

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1.313	Mar 5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	98.7¢	1.277	Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.246	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.1¢	1.274	Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.165	Mar 5
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.1¢	1.223	Mar 5
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	96.8¢	1.14	Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	97.0¢	1.144	Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	94.7¢	1.43	Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	94.8¢	1.435	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	1.15	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	1.158	Mar 3
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.2¢	1.33	Mar 3
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.3¢	1.333	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	1.26	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	1.258	Mar 3
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1.33	Mar 3
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1.335	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	1.27	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	1.278	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.7%

Win Consistency24.1%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue