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DFH54U

0x46f8bd...860f77
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
65.0%
Total P&L
+$18
Trade Count
388
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56
Sortino Ratio
-0.88
Max Drawdown
1861.0%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
1.92
Kelly Fraction
0.311
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.16Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.6¢8.61Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.8¢5.46Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢9.27Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢9.01Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.8¢9.018Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.56Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢6.55Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢5.025Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.14Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢12.15Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢12.151Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢10.94Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢10.936Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY93.0¢8.602Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%8%70–80%9%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.5%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity388 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4866d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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