dge

0x82e743...d99aa1

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.9%

Total P&L

+$34

Trade Count

491

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

2.49

Max Drawdown

1540.9%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

2.34

Kelly Fraction

0.384

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	17.172	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	13.48	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	5.12	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	5.107	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	9.128	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.6¢	10.23	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	10.225	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	9.29	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	9.288	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	7.35	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	14.71	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	7.31	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	14.706	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	7.353	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	7.292	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	6.186	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	7.447	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	9.72	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	9.721	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.5%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity465 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$5478d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue