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dgthyth

0x5f08e6...fc4cfb
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
49.5%
Total P&L
-$51
Trade Count
3,022
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Sortino Ratio
-0.05
Max Drawdown
1599.5%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.87
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL52.0¢5Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY52.0¢5Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢5Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢5Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?SELL98.8¢5Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.5¢2.358Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.4¢4.87Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.4¢1.3Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.2¢6.17Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.8¢6.02Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL12.0¢5.26Mar 4
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY98.9¢5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY49.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL50.0¢5Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL53.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢5Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL70.0¢5Mar 4
Trump out as President before 2027?SELL82.0¢5Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY53.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%6%10–20%5%20–30%12%30–50%17%50–70%10%70–80%11%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%
Win Consistency52.0%
Profit Factor0.25
Drawdown Resilience0.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity3,022 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$49815d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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