discountry

0xdd0688...81bec5@discountifu

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.5%

Total P&L

+$643

Trade Count

112

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.16

Max Drawdown

1372.9%

ROI

14.0%

Profit Factor

13.78

Kelly Fraction

0.607

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.6¢	50	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.5¢	50	Mar 4
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	84.2¢	100	Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	2.8¢	50	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	10	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	97.9¢	90	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	98.6¢	90	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	97.9¢	10	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	98.5¢	10	Feb 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	81.0¢	50	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	94.7¢	83.13	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	94.7¢	16.87	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	57.8¢	17.301	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.5¢	10	Feb 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	85.0¢	24.69	Feb 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	81.0¢	24.691	Feb 19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	12.4¢	50	Feb 19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	89.8¢	100	Feb 19

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.1%

Win Consistency57.4%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity110 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,57514d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue