Djjam

0x82c762...51e125

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.1%

Total P&L

+$5.6K

Trade Count

238

Sharpe Ratio

-0.36

Sortino Ratio

-1.63

Max Drawdown

290.8%

ROI

15.7%

Profit Factor

0.88

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?	BUY	13.3¢	1,461.904	Mar 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.3¢	5,944.79	Mar 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.7¢	1,447.191	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.4¢	2,278.031	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	35.9¢	462.67	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.2¢	1,071.429	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	10.8¢	840.02	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	25.9¢	462.676	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	417.911	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	BUY	21.0¢	953.557	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	714.286	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	8.3¢	840.018	Feb 28
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	13.9¢	718.712	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	SELL	81.9¢	1,242.73	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	76.8¢	1,581.6	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	661.53	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	SELL	74.3¢	1,102.05	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	1,148.148	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	384.615	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	12.7¢	788.74	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.3%

Win Consistency35.9%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity238 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4,95514d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue