dougabernathy440

0xad2686...308c70

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.8%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.50

Sortino Ratio

-1.10

Max Drawdown

2051.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

127.43

Kelly Fraction

0.951

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.44	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?	BUY	99.4¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.39	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.25	Mar 3
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	2,967.07	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 4?	BUY	99.6¢	1.86	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.84	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	1.18	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.64	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.63	Mar 3
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.39	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.87	Mar 3
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	2,967.07	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.74	Mar 3
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	99.9¢	1.48	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.25	Feb 27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	1.43	Feb 27
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	99.3¢	1.31	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	1.48	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	99.5¢	1.19	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%

Win Consistency49.0%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity58 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$860d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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