Elanus

0xa7085a...d49abb

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.9%

Total P&L

+$47

Trade Count

899

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

3.56

Max Drawdown

1314.5%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.005

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	976.63	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	0.4¢	971.36	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	3.7¢	440.811	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.9¢	530.553	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	72.2¢	700.5	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	6.7¢	222.929	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	751.032	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	94.7¢	523.761	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	503.39	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	3.1¢	656.872	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	97.0¢	21	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.9¢	565.263	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	97.6¢	11	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	1,038.799	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	SELL	10.0¢	45.74	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	SELL	10.0¢	140	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	SELL	12.3¢	745	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	BUY	1.7¢	930.741	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	915.11	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	915.115	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%

Win Consistency49.1%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity899 trades · 130 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,96351d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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