Elzith

0x999c44...58c507

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.5%

Total P&L

+$7.3K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.12

Max Drawdown

42250.0%

ROI

2.9%

Profit Factor

15.25

Kelly Fraction

0.874

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.9¢	5.23	Jan 21
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	109.76	Dec 13
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.1¢	15.136	Dec 13
Falcons vs. Saints	BUY	47.0¢	8.92	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	102	Nov 23
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	BUY	98.0¢	3.061	Oct 11
Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?	BUY	99.8¢	9.218	Oct 11
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?	BUY	99.9¢	10.21	Sep 25
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?	BUY	99.9¢	24.124	Sep 25
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?	BUY	99.6¢	9.337	Sep 14
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	8.408	Sep 14
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	99.8¢	9.619	Sep 14
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	99.6¢	4.217	Aug 7
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	2.602	Aug 7
Will Althea Garrison win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?	BUY	99.7¢	2.708	Aug 7
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	4.804	Aug 7
Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	5.605	Jul 17
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	BUY	99.6¢	5.723	Jul 17
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?	BUY	99.4¢	2.515	Jul 6
Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	99.9¢	5.505	Jul 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%

Win Consistency69.6%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity61 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$22,5842d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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