erb80

0x7d4901...776638
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
19.0%
Total P&L
+$14.9K
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
-1.74
Sortino Ratio
-3.80
Max Drawdown
10475.8%
ROI
4756.8%
Profit Factor
79.82
Kelly Fraction
0.188
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?BUY10.9¢137.39Jan 4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?BUY50.1¢19.961Jan 4
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?BUY0.5¢3,315.542Jan 4
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?BUY0.1¢15,000Jan 4
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?BUY0.6¢1,615.076Jan 4
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?BUY0.4¢2,391.904Jan 4
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)BUY11.0¢136.542Jan 4
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)BUY3.6¢418.422Jan 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on December 17?BUY3.7¢405.697Jan 4
Will Charlotte rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?SELL0.1¢970.15Jan 4
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?SELL0.1¢437.68Jan 4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?SELL36.0¢39.47Jan 4
Will Charlotte rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?BUY1.5¢970.15Jan 4
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY3.4¢437.684Jan 4
Will Isabella rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?SELL0.1¢991.75Jan 4
Will Evelyn rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?BUY1.6¢933.57Jan 4
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY1.1¢1,390.843Jan 4
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?BUY2.0¢750Jan 4
Will Isabella rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?BUY1.5¢991.754Jan 4
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?BUY23.0¢65.291Jan 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%77%< 10%9%10–20%5%20–30%5%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.8%
Win Consistency19.1%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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