erikaolsen

0x360161...0eb007

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.1%

Total P&L

-$150

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.41

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

154.3%

ROI

-2.5%

Profit Factor

0.13

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	70.52	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	70.561	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	69.88	Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	30.721	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	21.483	Feb 12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	52.996	Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.7¢	25.915	Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	93.6¢	45.192	Jan 12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.7¢	8.465	Dec 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	97.9¢	12.676	Dec 27
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.2¢	41.19	Dec 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	94.0¢	46.5	Dec 4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	69.0¢	175.681	Nov 20
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	104.038	Oct 26
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	97.8¢	136.35	Sep 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	171.883	Jul 28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	216.33	Jul 22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	BUY	75.0¢	216.333	Jul 16
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?	BUY	98.6¢	172.15	Jun 23
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	SELL	99.7¢	169.83	Jun 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency64.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity63 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,59114d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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