ERTGYWERG

0x3b9312...e01644

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.1%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

426

Sharpe Ratio

-0.71

Sortino Ratio

-1.16

Max Drawdown

2566.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.300

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	8.621	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	5.17	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	5.16	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	13.13	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	13.131	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.0¢	8.8	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	90.9¢	8.801	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	5.28	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	5.28	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.8¢	8.88	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	8.872	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.21	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	8.47	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	9.22	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	78.0¢	12.53	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	7.25	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.7¢	7.239	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	8.457	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	8.34	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	10.79	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity426 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$5449d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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