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esmiffy

0xe090ea...fca8c1
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
49.4%
Total P&L
+$17
Trade Count
102
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
1.11
Max Drawdown
116.3%
ROI
7.4%
Profit Factor
1.48
Kelly Fraction
0.161
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?BUY79.0¢2.532Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY39.0¢5.128Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY34.0¢5.882Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?BUY18.0¢11.111Mar 5
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?BUY82.0¢2.439Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY44.0¢4.545Mar 4
Jones vs. Gentzsch: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY50.0¢4Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY27.0¢7.407Mar 3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY77.0¢2.597Mar 3
Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 BUY73.0¢2.74Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY35.0¢5.714Mar 2
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?BUY32.0¢6.25Mar 1
VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?BUY90.0¢2.222Mar 1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY82.0¢2.439Mar 1
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY27.0¢7.407Mar 1
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?BUY79.0¢2.532Mar 1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY18.0¢11.111Mar 1
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?SELL98.8¢5.55Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?BUY9.0¢22.222Feb 28
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?BUY39.0¢5.128Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%20%10–20%16%20–30%18%30–50%14%50–70%7%70–80%22%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.9%
Win Consistency47.8%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity102 trades · 29 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1653d profit26d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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