EverthingispossibleAk12

0x81924e...4c0664

Smart Score

Win Rate

12.1%

Total P&L

+$1.4K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.65

Sortino Ratio

147.94

Max Drawdown

43400.0%

ROI

38.8%

Profit Factor

1.88

Kelly Fraction

0.057

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.2¢	5,460	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.2¢	1,945	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,001	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	400	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	250.76	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	1,400	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.2¢	1,500	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.3¢	1,000	Mar 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.5¢	1,026	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.5¢	1,001	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	1.1¢	500	Feb 28
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan	BUY	7.0¢	43.571	Feb 28
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	25.0¢	7.6	Feb 28
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	0.1¢	5,005	Feb 28
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.4¢	500	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	0.1¢	9,000	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity998 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1795d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue