ewwwq

0x638073...c734ab

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.3%

Total P&L

-$18

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.29

Sortino Ratio

-1.13

Max Drawdown

67.0%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.17

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.8¢	154	Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.6¢	341	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	SELL	98.9¢	90	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	412	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	99.0¢	90	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	412	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	77.0¢	12.88	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	9.9	Feb 28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	SELL	98.9¢	30	Feb 28
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	677	Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	122	Feb 28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	BUY	99.0¢	30	Feb 27
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	122	Feb 27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	677	Feb 27
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?	SELL	99.9¢	111	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	446	Feb 27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	254	Feb 27
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	111	Feb 27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	254	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	446	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.8%

Win Consistency26.5%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity64 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$5481d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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