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FastFormula1

0x483a45...c58832
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
49.2%
Total P&L
+$127
Trade Count
380
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
6.69
Max Drawdown
63.2%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.040
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY7.0¢42.857Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY15.0¢53.333Mar 5
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?SELL94.1¢10.62Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?BUY35.0¢28.571Mar 4
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY90.0¢50Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢52.79Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY54.5¢91.691Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY63.0¢79.365Mar 3
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY3.8¢26.575Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY73.9¢13.527Mar 3
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?SELL8.0¢100Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY58.0¢86.207Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY59.0¢84.746Mar 3
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY3.0¢33.223Mar 2
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY90.0¢111.111Mar 2
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL87.3¢100.96Mar 2
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY89.5¢111.778Mar 2
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY88.2¢68Mar 1
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY87.4¢17.171Feb 25
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY87.0¢57.471Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%15%10–20%5%20–30%24%30–50%17%50–70%5%70–80%16%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.0%
Win Consistency56.7%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity380 trades · 35 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6,7165d profit30d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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