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0x912dd3...b5f1fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.0%

Total P&L

-$346

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.35

Sortino Ratio

-9.26

Max Drawdown

561.2%

ROI

-8.5%

Profit Factor

0.38

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	17.7¢	113.057	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	SELL	86.0¢	23.25	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	39.2¢	84.178	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	12.3¢	268.46	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	10.6¢	220.393	Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	10.4¢	48.077	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	5.61	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	5.617	Feb 27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,232.31	Feb 27
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	91.41	Feb 27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	1.5¢	1,232.314	Feb 24
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	65.9¢	91.41	Feb 19
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	4.3¢	1,386.03	Feb 19
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	17.2¢	1,386.038	Feb 19
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	42.2¢	564.1	Feb 19
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	34.2¢	292.12	Feb 18
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	23.8¢	271.977	Feb 17
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	61.2¢	42.27	Feb 17
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	62.7¢	62.14	Feb 17
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	64.5¢	104.419	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency37.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity76 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$4273d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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