fgngcfgb

0x861bbe...6aa791

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.6%

Total P&L

+$493

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.83

Sortino Ratio

-0.94

Max Drawdown

482.9%

ROI

8.7%

Profit Factor

23.03

Kelly Fraction

0.456

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 3?	BUY	62.0¢	1,219	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?	BUY	82.0¢	43.902	Jan 22
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30?	BUY	46.0¢	56.522	Dec 30
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	496.3	Nov 18
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	496.3	Nov 17
Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?	BUY	78.0¢	19.231	Oct 28
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	1.2¢	483.07	Oct 22
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	484.61	Oct 22
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	484.615	Oct 20
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	1.3¢	483.077	Oct 20
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.7¢	495.55	Oct 20
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.2¢	447.5	Oct 20
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.3¢	447.502	Oct 20
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	0.9¢	495.556	Oct 20
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	0.8¢	2,297.78	Oct 20
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	0.9¢	2,297.778	Oct 19
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	0.6¢	3,380	Oct 19
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	3,380	Oct 18
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	0.8¢	2,983.33	Oct 18
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	0.9¢	2,983.333	Oct 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency23.8%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity36 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$8904d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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