Freemoney420

0x4c37be...805031

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

-$70

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.79

Sortino Ratio

52.38

Max Drawdown

500.0%

ROI

-7.0%

Profit Factor

0.41

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	77.6¢	25.769	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	55.556	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	66.667	Mar 5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	12.658	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	15.385	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	73.0¢	27.397	Mar 5
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	64.0¢	7.27	Feb 23
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	64.0¢	20	Feb 23
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	64.0¢	12.67	Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: February	SELL	78.5¢	32.55	Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: February	BUY	68.1¢	32.551	Feb 19
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	68.3¢	32.44	Feb 19
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	32.44	Feb 18
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	91.0¢	56.83	Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?	SELL	11.0¢	8.76	Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?	SELL	11.0¢	16.945	Feb 12
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	SELL	16.0¢	240	Feb 12
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	51	Feb 12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.5¢	216.22	Feb 12

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity66 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$2473d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue